Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 50.1% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 91.3%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 85.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 83.5%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Cirelli
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Cirelli
Reinhart
Last 6: Cirelli 6-0 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (1,052)
44.1% (324)
+5.8%
Power Play
54.9% (82)
40.3% (72)
+14.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (158)
33.9% (118)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Cirelli is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Cirelli shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Reinhart
Home
46.7% (649)
40.5% (232)
Away
53.5% (643)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Cirelli
Reinhart
P1
50.1%
46.4%
P2
51.1%
32.6%
P3
48.5%
45.4%
OT
64.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
50.0%▼
53.0%
50.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:30 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |