Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kreider 43.4% vs Reinhart 45.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kreider 71.3%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 76.3%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 52.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Kreider
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kreider
Reinhart
Last 5: Kreider 2-3 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kreider
2
0
Kreider
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
3
Kreider
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kreider
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (83)
44.6% (345)
-6.0%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
43.3% (97)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
43.2% (88)
-23.2%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Kreider is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (33).
Kreider shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Kreider
Reinhart
Home
34.7% (49)
47.9% (267)
Away
38.3% (47)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Kreider
Reinhart
P1
32.6%
45.6%
P2
34.5%
42.0%
P3
50.0%
45.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
20.0%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kreider
44.0%▲
38.0%
36.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Chris Kreider |