Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 60.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 57.6% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 59.2%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 71.2%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 70.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Miller
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Miller
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Miller
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
3
Miller
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (823)
44.1% (324)
+14.1%
Power Play
58.2% (165)
40.3% (72)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
58.9% (90)
33.9% (118)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Miller has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Miller is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Miller shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Miller
Reinhart
Home
59.1% (558)
40.5% (232)
Away
57.3% (520)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Miller
Reinhart
P1
60.7%
46.4%
P2
57.5%
32.6%
P3
56.1%
45.4%
OT
73.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
58.3%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |