Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sam Reinhart
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 69.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 68.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 68.2%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Last 5: Nugent-Hopkins 1-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
44.6% (345)
+6.4%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
43.3% (97)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
43.2% (88)
-7.3%
On power play, Reinhart has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
Home
50.8% (258)
47.9% (267)
Away
44.9% (234)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Reinhart
P1
51.6%
45.6%
P2
45.2%
42.0%
P3
47.6%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 12:23 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:37 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |