Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 83.7%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 60.0%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 72.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Reinhart
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Reinhart
Couturier
Last 6: Reinhart 1-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Reinhart
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Reinhart
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (77)
53.4% (758)
-14.4%
Power Play
35.4% (48)
62.9% (70)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (22)
50.7% (227)
-9.8%
On power play, Couturier has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Reinhart shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Couturier
Home
35.7% (84)
50.7% (517)
Away
41.3% (63)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Reinhart
Couturier
P1
42.6%
55.2%
P2
34.7%
53.0%
P3
37.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
28.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |