Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 35.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.9% vs Couturier 53.9% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 85.3%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 64.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 76.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Reinhart
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Reinhart
Couturier
Last 6: Reinhart 1-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Reinhart
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Reinhart
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Reinhart
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
39.0% (77)
54.3% (845)
-15.3%
Power Play
35.4% (48)
62.5% (72)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (22)
51.8% (249)
-10.9%
On power play, Couturier has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Reinhart is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Reinhart shoots right. Couturier is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Couturier
Home
35.7% (84)
51.1% (562)
Away
41.3% (63)
57.3% (604)
By Period
Reinhart
Couturier
P1
42.6%
55.5%
P2
34.7%
54.4%
P3
37.3%
54.2%
Final 5 min
28.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%
Couturier
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |