Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Reinhart wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.7% vs Couturier 55.6% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 63.5%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 60.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 57.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Reinhart
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Reinhart
Couturier
Last 10: Reinhart 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Reinhart
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
Reinhart
Couturier
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (324)
55.1% (1,008)
-11.0%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
64.1% (142)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (118)
53.3% (45)
-19.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Reinhart shoots right. Couturier is 57.5% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Couturier
Home
40.5% (232)
58.1% (609)
Away
41.8% (282)
53.9% (586)
By Period
Reinhart
Couturier
P1
46.4%
55.3%
P2
32.6%
55.8%
P3
45.4%
57.4%
OT
40.0%
45.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 13:59 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 9, 2024 | OT | 03:16 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:47 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |