Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 45.1% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 83.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 73.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 69.9%
30.1%
69.9%
Reinhart
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Reinhart
Karlsson
Last 5: Reinhart 3-2 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
0
Reinhart
Karlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
2
1
Reinhart
Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Reinhart
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (345)
56.3% (739)
-11.7%
Power Play
43.3% (97)
58.6% (181)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (88)
47.2% (53)
-4.0%
On power play, Karlsson has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Reinhart is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Reinhart shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Karlsson
Home
47.9% (267)
56.5% (462)
Away
40.3% (263)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Reinhart
Karlsson
P1
45.6%
57.1%
P2
42.0%
55.2%
P3
45.4%
56.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |