Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Steel 48.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 62.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 61.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Lowry
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lowry
Steel
Last 5: Lowry 4-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Steel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Lowry
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
49.5% (553)
+3.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
61.3% (31)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
30.6% (49)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Lowry
Steel
Home
52.4% (597)
46.4% (347)
Away
48.4% (583)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Lowry
Steel
P1
48.5%
52.1%
P2
52.2%
49.8%
P3
50.5%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |