Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Steel 52.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 72.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lowry
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
56.9% (320)
-3.2%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
71.4% (7)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
37.0% (73)
+5.7%
On power play, Steel has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Lowry
Steel
Home
53.0% (583)
55.9% (202)
Away
50.6% (605)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Lowry
Steel
P1
52.1%
55.5%
P2
51.8%
55.1%
P3
52.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |