Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 50.3%). Tierney wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 51.1% vs Steel 50.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 55.6%
Defensive zone
Tierney 87.2%
Neutral zone
Tierney 69.7%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Tierney
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tierney
Steel
Last 6: Tierney 5-1 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (767)
49.7% (638)
+1.5%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
60.3% (63)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (178)
42.4% (33)
+8.7%
On power play, Steel has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Tierney is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Tierney shoots left. Steel is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (477).
Home / Away
Tierney
Steel
Home
48.6% (552)
47.3% (349)
Away
54.3% (466)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Tierney
Steel
P1
51.3%
51.2%
P2
46.5%
49.8%
P3
55.3%
50.0%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 01:35 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 01:10 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 00:53 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |