Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 40.7% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 44.8% vs Steel 52.8% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 82.4%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 67.6%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 70.8%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Lapierre
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Lapierre
Steel
Last 5: Lapierre 1-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lapierre
Steel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Lapierre
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (98)
56.9% (320)
-17.1%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
71.4% (7)
-38.1%
On power play, Steel has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Lapierre is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Lapierre shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Steel
Home
36.1% (61)
55.9% (202)
Away
45.0% (40)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Lapierre
Steel
P1
36.4%
55.5%
P2
40.0%
55.1%
P3
42.1%
50.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
40.0%▬
39.5%
39.6%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 06:54 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 02:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |