Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ek wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 47.4% vs Steel 52.3% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Ek leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 67.7%
Defensive zone
Ek 52.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 67.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Ek
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Ek
Steel
Last 10: Ek 4-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ek
Steel
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ek
Steel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ek
2
1
Ek
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (707)
51.6% (401)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
66.7% (39)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (77)
44.4% (9)
-5.4%
On power play, Steel has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Ek is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (632).
Ek shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Ek
Steel
Home
47.1% (414)
55.8% (206)
Away
47.1% (425)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Ek
Steel
P1
45.5%
57.0%
P2
50.2%
50.7%
P3
44.3%
51.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
47.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:38 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:45 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:50 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 12:48 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |