Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Boyd 44.1% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 71.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 57.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 71.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 64.7%
64.7%
35.3%
Steel
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Steel
Boyd
Last 10: Steel 7-3 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
Steel
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
5
3
Steel
Boyd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
4
2
Steel
Boyd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,876)
44.4% (2,186)
+6.2%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
46.5% (256)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (254)
35.6% (208)
+1.8%
On power play, Steel has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Steel shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Steel
Boyd
Home
50.0% (1,560)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
50.4% (1,749)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Steel
Boyd
P1
51.9%
41.7%
P2
49.5%
46.2%
P3
49.6%
44.0%
OT
41.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 18, 2019 | 3 | 05:58 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |