Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 48.8% vs Boyd 43.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 82.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 62.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 82.4%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Steel
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Steel
Boyd
Last 9: Steel 7-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Steel
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
4
1
Steel
Boyd
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
3
0
Steel
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (553)
43.4% (893)
+6.1%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
51.5% (136)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
34.6% (127)
-4.0%
On power play, Steel has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Steel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Steel shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Steel
Boyd
Home
46.4% (347)
46.0% (570)
Away
51.4% (286)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Steel
Boyd
P1
52.1%
38.9%
P2
49.8%
50.4%
P3
45.2%
41.1%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:49 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 09:39 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 01:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Sam Steel |