Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.7% vs Helenius 47.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 90.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Staal
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Staal
Helenius
Last 6: Staal 5-1 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Helenius
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Helenius
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (939)
46.7% (197)
+9.5%
Power Play
66.9% (139)
0.0% (1)
+66.9%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (239)
25.0% (4)
+18.5%
On power play, Staal has a +66.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Staal shoots left. Helenius is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Staal
Helenius
Home
55.4% (663)
48.0% (98)
Away
54.7% (654)
44.2% (104)
By Period
Staal
Helenius
P1
54.9%
51.4%
P2
55.1%
37.9%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
57.3%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
50.0%▼
52.5%
55.0%
Helenius
48.0%▲
46.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 03:43 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |