Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 95.8%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 56.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 76.4%
Result
Craig Smith favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Smith
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Smith
Pahlsson
Last 10: Smith 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
3
0
Smith
Pahlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
3
Smith
Pahlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
0
4
Smith
Pahlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
54.3% (782)
-9.4%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
62.5% (16)
-23.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
45.8% (216)
+4.2%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Pahlsson is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Smith
Pahlsson
Home
46.1% (167)
51.8% (508)
Away
42.5% (226)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Smith
Pahlsson
P1
42.1%
52.8%
P2
43.4%
52.1%
P3
47.0%
53.0%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 18:41 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 03:29 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |