Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 52.6%). Look for Pahlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Helm 51.7% vs Pahlsson 52.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Helm 87.8%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 58.2%
Neutral zone
Helm 53.6%
Result
Darren Helm favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Helm
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Helm
Pahlsson
Last 10: Helm 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Helm
Pahlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
2
4
Helm
Pahlsson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
2
6
Helm
Pahlsson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Helm
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (607)
54.3% (782)
-2.9%
Power Play
42.3% (26)
62.5% (16)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (136)
45.8% (216)
+9.3%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Helm is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Helm shoots left. Pahlsson is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Helm
Pahlsson
Home
52.8% (371)
51.8% (508)
Away
51.0% (406)
53.5% (518)
By Period
Helm
Pahlsson
P1
50.4%
52.8%
P2
54.7%
52.1%
P3
50.6%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Helm
34.0%▼
44.5%
51.9%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | OT | 03:11 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 08:43 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 10:48 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:31 | Offensive | Darren Helm |
| Oct 21, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |