Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pahlsson wins 54.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pahlsson 52.2% vs Oshie 46.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 96.9%
Defensive zone
Oshie 61.3%
Neutral zone
Oshie 78.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Pahlsson
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Pahlsson
Oshie
Last 8: Pahlsson 1-7 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
4
Pahlsson
Oshie
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
1
2
Pahlsson
Oshie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
Pahlsson
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pahlsson
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,716)
45.2% (764)
+7.8%
Power Play
60.0% (35)
47.7% (1,221)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (548)
40.2% (164)
+9.6%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Pahlsson is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (680).
Pahlsson shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
Pahlsson
Oshie
Home
54.4% (1,136)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
50.3% (1,188)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
Pahlsson
Oshie
P1
54.6%
47.3%
P2
50.7%
45.2%
P3
51.8%
46.7%
OT
44.8%
40.8%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 01:57 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 05:57 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |