Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.2%). Look for Gomez on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings). Gomez wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gomez 48.2% vs Connolly 47.3% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Gomez leads 18-15 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 60.8%
Defensive zone
Connolly 51.6%
Neutral zone
Gomez 55.6%
Result
Scott Gomez favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Gomez
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
15
(33 meetings)
18
15
Gomez
Connolly
Last 10: Gomez 6-4 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
5
3
Gomez
Connolly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
4
Gomez
Connolly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
11
8
Gomez
Connolly
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gomez
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (2,814)
47.4% (1,307)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.6% (516)
50.2% (251)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (74)
41.9% (186)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Gomez is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,238).
Gomez shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Gomez
Connolly
Home
49.8% (1,767)
48.5% (870)
Away
46.3% (1,667)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Gomez
Connolly
P1
48.6%
47.4%
P2
48.2%
47.7%
P3
47.5%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | OT | 02:30 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:52 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |