Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Johansen wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 46.7% vs Nichol 56.2% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 71.6%
Defensive zone
Johansen 66.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 69.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Johansen
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Johansen
Nichol
Last 5: Johansen 1-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Johansen
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
3
Johansen
Nichol
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (186)
58.0% (371)
-12.3%
Power Play
40.0% (25)
25.0% (4)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
57.3% (75)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Johansen is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Johansen shoots right. Nichol is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Johansen
Nichol
Home
47.2% (108)
58.6% (215)
Away
43.0% (107)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Johansen
Nichol
P1
50.0%
56.1%
P2
48.7%
58.4%
P3
37.5%
57.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.1%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
45.1%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 05:18 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 3 | 16:15 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 02:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |