Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 51.6% vs Nichol 57.8% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 66.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 69.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
O'Reilly
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
O'Reilly
Nichol
Last 7: O'Reilly 2-5 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
2
O'Reilly
Nichol
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
2
O'Reilly
Nichol
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (770)
58.6% (394)
-5.2%
Power Play
55.6% (54)
71.4% (7)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (196)
61.5% (78)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
O'Reilly shoots left. Nichol is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Nichol
Home
53.5% (533)
56.1% (246)
Away
50.0% (492)
62.8% (239)
By Period
O'Reilly
Nichol
P1
50.8%
57.7%
P2
52.4%
58.1%
P3
51.6%
62.8%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 06:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 10:59 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 21, 2010 | 2 | 15:18 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |