Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Nichol wins 61.1% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nichol 58.2% vs Ott 55.4% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 51.3%
Defensive zone
Ott 61.3%
Neutral zone
Ott 54.8%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Nichol
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Nichol
Ott
Last 7: Nichol 2-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
2
Nichol
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nichol
Ott
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
0
1
Nichol
Ott
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nichol
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (948)
57.2% (2,802)
+1.8%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
55.4% (567)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (185)
49.9% (853)
+9.6%
On power play, Ott has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Nichol shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Nichol
Ott
Home
59.7% (576)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
58.1% (577)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Nichol
Ott
P1
58.4%
56.7%
P2
57.3%
53.9%
P3
61.1%
55.7%
OT
100.0%
60.8%
Final 5 min
61.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 16, 2010 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 2 | 05:37 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 13, 2010 | 1 | 06:31 | Neutral | Steve Ott |