Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nichol wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nichol 58.2% vs Connolly 47.3% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 56.1%
Defensive zone
Nichol 85.2%
Neutral zone
Nichol 79.7%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Nichol
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nichol
Connolly
Last 6: Nichol 4-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
2
Nichol
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
3
0
Nichol
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
0
Nichol
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nichol
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (948)
47.4% (1,307)
+11.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
50.2% (251)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (185)
41.9% (186)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Nichol is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Nichol shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Nichol
Connolly
Home
59.7% (576)
48.5% (870)
Away
58.1% (577)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Nichol
Connolly
P1
58.4%
47.4%
P2
57.3%
47.7%
P3
61.1%
47.0%
OT
100.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
61.7%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |