Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nichol wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nichol 57.8% vs Sestito 47.0% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 61.5%
Defensive zone
Nichol 80.6%
Neutral zone
Nichol 60.6%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Nichol
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nichol
Sestito
Last 7: Nichol 4-3 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
3
0
Nichol
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nichol
Sestito
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
2
Nichol
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nichol
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (394)
45.7% (230)
+12.9%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
62.5% (8)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (78)
33.3% (12)
+28.2%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Nichol is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Nichol shoots right. Sestito is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Nichol
Sestito
Home
56.1% (246)
46.5% (142)
Away
62.8% (239)
45.0% (111)
By Period
Nichol
Sestito
P1
57.7%
43.9%
P2
58.1%
50.0%
P3
62.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |