Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nichol wins 61.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nichol 58.2% vs Sestito 46.0% (+13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 66.3%
Defensive zone
Nichol 70.2%
Neutral zone
Nichol 72.2%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Nichol
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Nichol
Sestito
Last 7: Nichol 4-3 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
3
0
Nichol
Sestito
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nichol
Sestito
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
2
Nichol
Sestito
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nichol
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (948)
45.7% (457)
+13.3%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
55.6% (9)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (185)
34.2% (38)
+25.3%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Nichol shoots right. Sestito is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Nichol
Sestito
Home
59.7% (576)
48.0% (273)
Away
58.1% (577)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Nichol
Sestito
P1
58.4%
42.5%
P2
57.3%
42.1%
P3
61.1%
52.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 11, 2011 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |