Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nichol wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nichol 57.8% vs Marchant 48.3% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 89.0%
Defensive zone
Nichol 78.5%
Neutral zone
Nichol 78.3%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Nichol
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Nichol
Marchant
Last 7: Nichol 6-1 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
0
Nichol
Marchant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nichol
Marchant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
4
0
Nichol
Marchant
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nichol
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (394)
50.5% (368)
+8.1%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
28.6% (7)
+42.8%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (78)
42.4% (158)
+19.1%
On power play, Nichol has a +42.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Nichol is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Nichol shoots right. Marchant is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Nichol
Marchant
Home
56.1% (246)
50.3% (302)
Away
62.8% (239)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Nichol
Marchant
P1
57.7%
46.3%
P2
58.1%
49.7%
P3
62.8%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
59.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |