Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Nichol wins 61.1% vs left-shot opponents — Marchant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nichol 58.2% vs Marchant 48.3% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 90.6%
Defensive zone
Nichol 72.7%
Neutral zone
Nichol 88.3%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Nichol
Marchant
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Nichol
Marchant
Last 7: Nichol 6-1 Marchant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
0
Nichol
Marchant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nichol
Marchant
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
4
0
Nichol
Marchant
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nichol
Marchant
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (948)
50.5% (368)
+8.5%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
28.6% (7)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
59.5% (185)
42.4% (158)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marchant shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Nichol shoots right. Marchant is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Nichol
Marchant
Home
59.7% (576)
50.3% (302)
Away
58.1% (577)
45.1% (246)
By Period
Nichol
Marchant
P1
58.4%
46.3%
P2
57.3%
49.7%
P3
61.1%
48.1%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
61.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Marchant
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2011 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Todd Marchant |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 16:45 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Feb 2, 2011 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 1 | 02:33 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |