Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 53.5%). Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Cizikas wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.5% vs Couturier 53.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 64.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 55.2%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 65.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Cizikas
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Cizikas
Couturier
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
5
2
Cizikas
Couturier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (524)
53.4% (758)
+1.0%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
62.9% (70)
+37.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.7% (227)
-3.1%
On power play, Cizikas has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Cizikas is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Cizikas shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Couturier
Home
53.3% (270)
50.7% (517)
Away
54.8% (299)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Cizikas
Couturier
P1
57.2%
55.2%
P2
56.3%
53.0%
P3
49.5%
53.3%
OT
33.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
54.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:34 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |