Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Giroux wins 63.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Giroux 60.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 67.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 76.2%
Neutral zone
Couturier 71.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 72.3%
27.7%
72.3%
Giroux
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Giroux
Couturier
Last 10: Giroux 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
3
2
Giroux
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
5
Giroux
Couturier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Giroux
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Giroux
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
60.3% (395)
53.4% (758)
+6.9%
Power Play
67.3% (107)
62.9% (70)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
65.4% (153)
50.7% (227)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Giroux shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Giroux
Couturier
Home
65.9% (337)
50.7% (517)
Away
59.1% (318)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Giroux
Couturier
P1
62.1%
55.2%
P2
64.5%
53.0%
P3
60.9%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
60.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 01:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |