Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.7% vs Couturier 48.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 51.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 90.1%
Neutral zone
Couturier 66.5%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Spezza
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Spezza
Couturier
Last 9: Spezza 2-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Spezza
Couturier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Spezza
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
4
Spezza
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (998)
47.4% (1,052)
+5.6%
Power Play
58.5% (248)
54.7% (95)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (16)
50.3% (183)
-0.3%
On even strength, Spezza has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Spezza is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Spezza shoots right. Couturier is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Spezza
Couturier
Home
56.4% (626)
48.3% (658)
Away
51.7% (636)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Spezza
Couturier
P1
56.9%
50.1%
P2
51.9%
45.5%
P3
53.9%
49.9%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.0%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 14:14 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 13:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |