Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.2% vs Couturier 48.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 74.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 80.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 84.7%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Beagle
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Beagle
Couturier
Last 5: Beagle 5-0 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
0
Beagle
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (284)
47.4% (1,052)
+10.7%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
54.7% (95)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (97)
50.3% (183)
+2.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Beagle is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Beagle shoots right. Couturier is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Beagle
Couturier
Home
57.9% (183)
48.3% (658)
Away
55.2% (201)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Beagle
Couturier
P1
54.7%
50.1%
P2
62.1%
45.5%
P3
50.9%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.5%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 14, 2015 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:26 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |