Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Couturier 54.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 80.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 53.5%
Neutral zone
Thornton 67.7%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Thornton
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thornton
Couturier
Last 8: Thornton 2-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Thornton
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
4
Thornton
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
55.5% (887)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
51.9% (79)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
54.0% (100)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Thornton shoots left. Couturier is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (737).
Home / Away
Thornton
Couturier
Home
54.9% (355)
52.4% (521)
Away
47.1% (382)
57.6% (545)
By Period
Thornton
Couturier
P1
46.0%
53.4%
P2
52.5%
55.7%
P3
55.6%
56.6%
OT
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 03:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 17:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 1 | 05:23 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |