Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Couturier 52.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 61.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.0%
Neutral zone
Rossi 51.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Rossi
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Rossi
Couturier
Last 10: Rossi 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
7
2
Rossi
Couturier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
5
Rossi
Couturier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Rossi
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
52.5% (11,063)
-5.5%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
59.7% (1,280)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
48.5% (1,816)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Rossi
Couturier
Home
47.8% (1,207)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Rossi
Couturier
P1
47.3%
52.5%
P2
44.8%
52.6%
P3
48.3%
52.9%
OT
45.8%
49.4%
Final 5 min
44.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:44 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 13:13 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 18:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |