Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 44.9% vs Couturier 56.1% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 82.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 71.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Barzal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Barzal
Couturier
Last 7: Barzal 4-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Barzal
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (314)
55.6% (532)
-12.3%
Power Play
45.5% (33)
66.1% (112)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
53.8% (106)
-20.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Barzal is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Barzal shoots right. Couturier is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Barzal
Couturier
Home
39.9% (168)
63.3% (357)
Away
46.7% (182)
51.1% (393)
By Period
Barzal
Couturier
P1
39.0%
57.0%
P2
49.1%
55.3%
P3
43.3%
60.0%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
30.5%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
43.4%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 04:40 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |