Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.3%). Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ellis wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 49.2% vs Couturier 48.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 57.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 51.4%
Neutral zone
Ellis 65.3%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Ellis
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ellis
Couturier
Last 7: Ellis 2-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Ellis
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Ellis
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (170)
47.4% (1,052)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (35)
50.3% (183)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Ellis is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Ellis shoots left. Couturier is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Ellis
Couturier
Home
47.8% (113)
48.3% (658)
Away
50.0% (92)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Ellis
Couturier
P1
61.3%
50.1%
P2
45.9%
45.5%
P3
35.9%
49.9%
Final 5 min
45.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 16:07 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 03:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |