Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kadri wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kadri 47.6% vs Couturier 53.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 90.9%
Defensive zone
Kadri 58.4%
Neutral zone
Kadri 75.1%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Kadri
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kadri
Couturier
Last 9: Kadri 2-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Kadri
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Kadri
Couturier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Kadri
Couturier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kadri
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (821)
53.4% (758)
-6.0%
Power Play
48.8% (86)
62.9% (70)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
50.7% (227)
-12.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Kadri is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Kadri shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Home / Away
Kadri
Couturier
Home
46.6% (487)
50.7% (517)
Away
48.3% (433)
56.1% (538)
By Period
Kadri
Couturier
P1
52.7%
55.2%
P2
50.2%
53.0%
P3
40.2%
53.3%
OT
44.4%
42.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
47.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 06:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 16:04 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |