Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 54.4% vs Couturier 53.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 58.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 60.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 60.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Zacha
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Zacha
Couturier
Last 10: Zacha 3-7 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Zacha
Couturier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Zacha
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
2
Zacha
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (787)
53.8% (1,003)
+0.1%
Power Play
63.2% (193)
56.4% (202)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
42.7% (89)
+1.6%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Zacha shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Zacha
Couturier
Home
56.7% (538)
54.4% (680)
Away
52.8% (530)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Zacha
Couturier
P1
52.6%
56.3%
P2
54.8%
51.8%
P3
56.8%
52.2%
OT
59.1%
60.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |