Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 49.1% vs Couturier 52.6% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 37-19 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 79.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 77.0%
Neutral zone
Zacha 74.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Zacha
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
37
(56 meetings)
19
37
Zacha
Couturier
Last 10: Zacha 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
9
10
Zacha
Couturier
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
15
Zacha
Couturier
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
6
12
Zacha
Couturier
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (5,102)
52.5% (11,063)
-3.6%
Power Play
55.6% (804)
59.7% (1,280)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (555)
48.5% (1,816)
-6.3%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Zacha shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Zacha
Couturier
Home
49.7% (3,353)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
48.5% (3,108)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Zacha
Couturier
P1
49.9%
52.5%
P2
49.2%
52.6%
P3
48.1%
52.9%
OT
53.1%
49.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:11 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:44 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |