Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Aho 50.0% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 69.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 84.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Couturier
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Couturier
Aho
Last 10: Couturier 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
7
Couturier
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
7
0
Couturier
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
49.9% (851)
+3.5%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
53.5% (144)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
43.3% (60)
+7.4%
On power play, Couturier has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Couturier shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Couturier
Aho
Home
50.7% (517)
53.2% (554)
Away
56.1% (538)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Couturier
Aho
P1
55.2%
49.1%
P2
53.0%
50.8%
P3
53.3%
49.7%
OT
42.4%
58.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 02:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 00:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:45 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |