Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.6%). Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Bozak 53.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 78.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 72.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Couturier
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Couturier
Bozak
Last 6: Couturier 5-1 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
0
Couturier
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
0
Couturier
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (770)
53.6% (977)
-0.1%
Power Play
59.4% (69)
52.2% (186)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (162)
100.0% (6)
-53.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Couturier is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Couturier shoots left. Bozak is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Couturier
Bozak
Home
53.8% (452)
55.4% (583)
Away
52.1% (549)
51.9% (586)
By Period
Couturier
Bozak
P1
53.4%
51.9%
P2
52.8%
51.1%
P3
52.4%
57.9%
OT
52.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |