Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.5%). Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 40 meetings). Couturier wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 64-60 in 124 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 59.4%
Defensive zone
Couturier 57.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.0%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Couturier
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
64
-
60
(124 meetings)
64
60
Couturier
Bozak
Last 10: Couturier 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
19
24
Couturier
Bozak
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
29
11
Couturier
Bozak
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
16
25
Couturier
Bozak
41 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
53.7% (9,596)
-1.2%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
55.2% (1,990)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
48.0% (1,094)
+0.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Couturier is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (5,245).
Couturier shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Couturier
Bozak
Home
53.4% (7,147)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Couturier
Bozak
P1
52.5%
53.2%
P2
52.6%
52.8%
P3
52.9%
54.5%
OT
49.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 12:54 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 17:57 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:56 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |