Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 51.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 64.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Lundell
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Lundell
Kuraly
Last 5: Lundell 4-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
4
1
Lundell
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
55.3% (515)
-0.7%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
55.6% (9)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
44.8% (58)
+0.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Lundell
Kuraly
Home
51.2% (527)
57.3% (293)
Away
54.8% (496)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Lundell
Kuraly
P1
53.7%
53.8%
P2
51.7%
51.5%
P3
54.1%
57.6%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 16:24 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:51 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |