Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 54.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 60.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Horvat
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horvat
Kuraly
Last 5: Horvat 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Horvat
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Horvat
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
46.0% (661)
+7.1%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
77.8% (9)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
47.1% (51)
+6.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kuraly
Home
53.0% (673)
47.2% (335)
Away
54.5% (651)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Horvat
Kuraly
P1
51.9%
47.1%
P2
54.8%
44.6%
P3
54.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |