Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.9%). Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Kuraly 53.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 74.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 51.3%
Neutral zone
Horvat 56.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Horvat
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Horvat
Kuraly
Last 6: Horvat 1-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Horvat
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (1,606)
54.5% (464)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.9% (308)
0.0% (1)
+52.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (104)
50.0% (66)
+0.0%
On power play, Horvat has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Horvat is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Horvat shoots left. Kuraly is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Horvat
Kuraly
Home
57.2% (987)
52.3% (281)
Away
50.2% (1,031)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Horvat
Kuraly
P1
53.9%
56.0%
P2
53.7%
60.8%
P3
53.6%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 13:38 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |