Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +25.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Leason wins 27.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Leason 40.3% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-25.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Leason 79.1%
Defensive zone
Leason 64.1%
Neutral zone
Leason 72.4%
Result
Brett Leason favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Leason
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Leason
Kuraly
Last 7: Leason 2-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Leason
1
0
Leason
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Leason
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Leason
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Leason
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
32.9% (70)
55.3% (515)
-22.4%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
55.6% (9)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
44.8% (58)
-44.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Leason is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Leason shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Leason
Kuraly
Home
30.0% (40)
57.3% (293)
Away
26.8% (41)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Leason
Kuraly
P1
37.9%
53.8%
P2
18.5%
51.5%
P3
28.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
35.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Leason
32.0%▬
33.3%
28.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:43 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Brett Leason |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Offensive | Brett Leason |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |