Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 49.0% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wagner 57.6%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 64.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 61.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Wagner
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Wagner
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (1,243)
51.5% (5,141)
-0.7%
Power Play
40.0% (20)
56.0% (100)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (307)
44.2% (1,086)
-2.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Wagner is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Wagner shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Wagner
Kuraly
Home
49.8% (817)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
47.9% (753)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Wagner
Kuraly
P1
48.6%
51.1%
P2
48.6%
49.9%
P3
49.5%
50.0%
OT
50.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
48.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |