Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.6%). Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ek 49.4% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 15-3 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ek 85.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 63.0%
Neutral zone
Ek 53.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Ek
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
15
(18 meetings)
3
15
Ek
Kuraly
Last 10: Ek 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
3
Ek
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
5
Ek
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
7
Ek
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ek
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (926)
49.2% (901)
-0.8%
Power Play
55.4% (327)
68.2% (22)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (133)
49.8% (219)
-8.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Ek is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (817).
Ek shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Ek
Kuraly
Home
50.1% (689)
51.7% (603)
Away
48.6% (697)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Ek
Kuraly
P1
49.5%
50.9%
P2
49.3%
49.5%
P3
48.9%
49.1%
OT
53.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ek
52.0%▲
46.0%
49.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:58 | Offensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |