Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Draisaitl wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 54.6% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 96.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.5%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 81.6%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
1
(12 meetings)
11
1
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Last 10: Draisaitl 10-0 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
7
0
Draisaitl
Kuraly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Draisaitl
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
0
Draisaitl
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (974)
49.2% (901)
+3.2%
Power Play
59.5% (373)
68.2% (22)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
61.0% (123)
49.8% (219)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Draisaitl is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (950).
Draisaitl shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Kuraly
Home
54.5% (778)
51.7% (603)
Away
55.3% (692)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Draisaitl
Kuraly
P1
54.6%
50.9%
P2
56.1%
49.5%
P3
53.3%
49.1%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:04 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:55 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |