Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Reichel wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reichel 42.1% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reichel 85.1%
Defensive zone
Reichel 87.8%
Neutral zone
Reichel 87.1%
Result
Lukas Reichel favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Reichel
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Reichel
Kuraly
Last 9: Reichel 1-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Reichel
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
6
Reichel
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reichel
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (327)
55.3% (515)
-16.2%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.8% (58)
-44.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Reichel is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Reichel shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Reichel
Kuraly
Home
43.7% (206)
57.3% (293)
Away
34.7% (150)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Reichel
Kuraly
P1
35.5%
53.8%
P2
39.5%
51.5%
P3
46.5%
57.6%
Final 5 min
35.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reichel
42.0%▲
40.0%
39.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Lukas Reichel |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |