Scouting Report
Max Domi holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Domi wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 53.3% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 77.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 62.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Domi
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Domi
Kuraly
Last 5: Domi 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Domi
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (847)
49.2% (901)
+4.6%
Power Play
52.1% (96)
68.2% (22)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
49.8% (219)
+7.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Domi is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (637).
Domi shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Domi
Kuraly
Home
53.9% (445)
51.7% (603)
Away
53.5% (505)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Domi
Kuraly
P1
51.4%
50.9%
P2
55.3%
49.5%
P3
54.7%
49.1%
OT
41.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
59.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 01:14 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |